Many studied his play and tried to emulate him. He finally confessed before he died that he had no system. His winnings were attributable to an amazing run of luck! Betting systems or betting progressions have been devised for every gambling game. Many of them had their origins in eighteenth and nineteenth century roulette played on the French Riviera. While the particulars of different betting systems vary greatly, the systems fall into three broad categories: 1.
Flat: Keep bets constant, waiting for a streak of successes. Negative progressions: raise bets after losses, trying to recover an eventual win. Positive progressions: raise bets after wins, hoping to use the "house money" to create a large win. Each of these systems has positive and negative characteristics, but the approach, which catches the most flack from gaming experts, is the negative progression. The advocates of positive progressions don't think much of increasing your wager after a loss.
However, as we shall see, in the short run just the opposite is likely to be true. Assume that we are going to bet player for eight decisions. Three different players will help us in this illustration. Player A does not believe in ever changing the size of his bet. He bets flat, that is the same amount on every hand, regardless of the outcome of his preceding hand. Player B likes to follow the system many experts recommend and he will press or double his bet after each win, gradually betting more and more as he uses the house's money.
Player C has heard that increasing his bets after losses is the "surest way to win. The following table compares the results of eight decisions, consisting of six losses and two wins. I purposely set up this example to illustrate some of the characteristics of each of the betting strategies.
Positive progressions, like the progression used by Player B, offer more likelihood of an adverse than a favorable session, with intermittent large wins. Negative progressions, like the one used by Player C, offer a greater chance of winning any given session but have the characteristic of generating many small wins with occasional large losses. The exact result of sessions played in casinos depends on the details of each game and on variations applied to systems by individual players.
However, by ignoring variations, using each system in its rawest form, we can test how each system performed against the same set of decisions and comment on general characteristics of each approach to wagering. A test was created assuming that wagers are made on pass line only. Each game was decisions long. Limits on the progressions were imposed which required any progression to end immediately if the next bet required in the series exceeded units.
The following systems were tested. Please note that these are not presented as practical systems but are used to emphasize the differences you can expect in each approach to wagering. Flat Betting: Single units are bet and the amount never varies.
Positive Progression: In this parlay type of progression, bets are doubled after every win and reduced to one unit after every loss. Assuming a string of nine consecutive wins, this progression would be: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, , Negative Progression: A Martingale type of progression is used where bets are doubled after every loss and reduced to a single unit after any win.
Assuming a string of nine consecutive losses, this series would consist of the following wagers: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, , The results of a 2,session computer run using each technique are presented in a table on the following page. This table shows some of the trade offs among the systems.
Notice that while the average size bet for flat betting was 1 unit, it increased to 3. The average size bet was larger for negative than positive progression because runs of losing bets were longer, and therefore, required higher wagers than runs of winning bets. In this contest, which is also analogous to blackjack, the losing streaks tended to be longer than the winning streaks. Flat betting won The positive progression showed the lowest win percentage of all, winning only 9.
This strategy was clearly the winner in terms of the number of individual games won. The last column in the table "Equivalent Amount Won or Lost" shows how much the amounts would have been if the flat and positive betting strategies' wagers had been raised so that the averages were the same as with the negative progression. These variables include the type of betting system used, the size of your bankroll, the games you play, the length of time you play, and your luck at winning any given gaming contest.
Let's compare the effects of using different betting systems on our ability to play without losing our bankroll. The betting systems we will use are: 1. Flat betting. Positive Progression. Negative Progression. Here's the game we will face.
We will play in a coin-tossing contest and we will always wager heads. Heads wins even money less a 2 percent house commission. When tails shows we lose the wager. The chances here are and the house edge is 1 percent. The next table shows how each betting system fares, varying the size of our bankroll and the number of games played. Each game consists of bets. Flat betting offers the least chance of losing your bankroll. Using a positive progression gives you almost as good a chance of keeping your bankroll intact as flat betting.
The moral of this comparison should be obvious. Using a negative betting progression greatly increases your likelihood of losing your bankroll unless you increase your bankroll to an adequate level. Betting flat offers the greatest likelihood of keeping your bankroll, but the poorest chance of winning. Using a positive betting progression wins only 9. At first glance at the table on the preceding page, it would seem that this high win rate came only by increasing our risk of losing our bankroll by a large factor.
But please note the following. If we are willing to use a somewhat larger bankroll, using a negative progression gives us the best of all worlds: A high probability of winning and a low possibility of losing our bankroll. This is something that almost no gambling experts will ever tell you. Experts invariably recommend only the first two approaches to win any gaming contest. The first approach is to gain a mathematical edge over the game.
This is the strategy card counters hope to use at blackjack. At roulette, wheel watchers hope to gain an edge by finding an unbalanced wheel where the ball lands in one section of the wheel a higher percentage of the time than chance would explain. With baccarat, advantage seekers look to precision shooting to alter the casino's edge against the players. The second approach to gambling, almost universally recommended by the experts, is to use a positive betting progression.
That this is the best system for capitalizing on winning streaks is the number one reason cited for using this system. Almost never mentioned by the experts is that this system has a dismal winning rate, losing about 9 out of every 10 sessions. As we have seen, the betting strategy with the greatest chance of winning is the negative progression. With an adequate bankroll, the risk of loss can be reduced to a reasonable amount. The examples also assumed games where the house had an edge over the player.
Our examples serve to illustrate the varying characteristics of betting flat versus using either a positive or negative betting progression. In the next chapter we will take a look at different betting systems. Several of these approaches are over one hundred years old. Let's see if our not so dumb ancestors had any meaningful insights on how to beat the baccarat game! There are also systems which have characteristics of one or more of these types, such as the Baccarat Attack Strategy Betting System which we will encounter in a few more chapters.
Many of the classical betting systems were developed for roulette in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, but can be used for other games with even-money wagers such as craps, baccarat and blackjack. Although none of these systems in its pure form is a winning system, it is worthwhile to study the efforts of our ancestors as these betting systems are the grandparents of every modern betting system.
Martingale Martingale is one of the oldest betting systems using a negative progression. It is named after Henry Martingale, an English casino owner in the s who is reputed to urge losing punters to "double 'em up" with their wagers. This system is very simple. You will use a betting series where each bet in the series is twice as large as the preceding one, as with 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, So long as you win a bet, you will continue to bet at the lowest level, e.
If you lose a bet, you will move up to the next wager, doubling the amount of the previous wager. Use of the system ensures that whenever your wager eventually wins, you will win the amount of the original wager, in this instance 1. One of my gambling friends once told me about an amazing system he had developed for craps. He had gone to Las Vegas on two consecutive trips and returned a winner. He was certain that his risk of loss was very small and planned to continue to use the system.
He correctly pointed out that he would have to lose nine times in a row to lose the betting series, and he just didn't think that this was possible. I pointed out to him that there was a very real possibility that he could lose nine decisions in a row; in fact, this would happen once about every pass line - don't pass decisions. With craps decisions averaging fifty to sixty per hour, a loss of all nine wagers could happen once every eight to ten hours. This must have impressed him as I don't think he ever used this system again or at least he didn't tell me about losing with it.
The Martingale system would be just about unbeatable if you could continue to double your wagers until you finally won a bet. Modern casinos are very aware of Martingale, and they know that the easiest way to thwart the system is to narrow the spread between maximum and minimum bets allowed. In other words, the minimum wager must be high enough and the maximum wager low enough that no more than eight or nine doublings can occur. You could use the following series of wagers: 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 1, 2, With 12 bets in the series, you would be an odds-on favorite to win any weekend gambling contest involving even-money wagers.
However, you might want to consider one thing. Are you willing to risk it? If you win, you will be up exactly one buck for your efforts. While the risk of loss is low, it will happen at some time if you continue to wager this way, and there is no guarantee that it won't happen during your first casino excursion using this system. Nearly every gambling expert likes to cite Martingale as an example of a losing system and then jump into a gloating mode and proclaim that all betting systems are losers.
However, a Martingale system can be used with very good results if it is used on a spot basis. Assume that you are wagering on an even-money game and that you have lost the last four consecutive wagers. Usually, a three-stage Martingale against this trend continuing for three more decisions will be quite profitable and the reward will be reasonable as compared to the amount risked.
A five-stage Martingale progression can be used very profitably when it is used against a betting pattern which is less likely to occur than would normally be expected. Grand Martingale One criticism of Martingale is that too much is risked as compared to the potential return. With Grand Martingale, additional chips are added to each increased wager, so that when a win finally occurs, the amount won will be greater than just the amount of the first wager.
A typical Grand Martingale series is: 1 3 5 15 35 Martingale in all forms risks a lot to win a little. When the losses come, they will wipe out hours of profits. Another twist to using a Martingale series is to play Martingale in reverse, called an "Anti-Martingale" betting series. With this system, winning wagers will be pressed doubled. Whenever you encounter a long winning streak this system can produce phenomenal profits.
Assume we use the following Anti-Martingale series: 5 10 20 40 The high-risk reward ratio is a major reason raising your wagers after wins is recommended by many gaming experts. Like the variations of Martingale, this series is used with even-money bets. If he wins this wager, he will cancel the two outside numbers by scratching them out, and wager the sum of the next two outside numbers. In this simple series, only the single number of 2 is left, so the player would wager 2.
If he also wins this wager, he will have won the series, having won 4 on the first round and 2 for the second wager, for a total of 6, the total of all bets in the series. Any time the player loses a wager, he will add the amount lost to the series and continue to wager the sum of the two outside wagers. Let's assume the player lost the first bet of 4. He would add this wager to the series, which would now become: 1 2 3 4. His next wager would be for 5, the sum of the two outside wagers.
We will assume that this bet wins. Having won the bet, our players cancels the outside numbers of 1 and 4 leaving the series as: 2 3. He next wagers the sum of these two numbers, betting 5. If this wager wins the series is completed. If he loses this wager, the losing bet of 5 will be added to the series and he will continue the series.
The principal appeal of this system is that it appears to be a two for one proposition in that each win cancels two numbers while a loss only adds one number to the series. However, this isn't the case, as the player is not paid two for one on winning bets. In testing this system, I have had bets escalate to wagers of hundreds of dollars all too frequently.
This is probably the most insidious of the old time roulette systems. It is said to have been responsible for more suicides on the French Riviera than any other system. Part of the problem with this system is that the small stream of steady wins tends to lull the player into believing that the system can't lose. In either case, the series will be over with the end result that the player suffers a substantial loss.
This system can also be played in reverse, known as Reverse Labouchere. With Reverse Labby, as many punters call it, the amount of each win is added to the series, and the two outside numbers are canceled whenever a loss occurs. Each wager is still the sum of the two outside numbers. This system produces many small losses in exchange for an occasional win over 1, times the amount at risk.
Norman Leigh theorized that the reason so many players lose with Labouchere is that they run into the house limits or lose their playing capital and are unable to recoup losses. Since the bank has almost unlimited capital in comparison to the players, the bank can out wait most player assaults, knowing that either the house betting limit or the player's own limited financial resources will bring about the player's demise.
In using the reverse betting strategy, Leigh reasoned that this approach would most closely resemble the bank's approach to most other players. He would wait out the small losses until a large win occurred. Leigh spent months recruiting and training a team to play against the casino. His trials in pulling off this coup make for fascinating reading. I believe that one of the reasons he was eventually able to beat the casino in Monte Carlo was that his starting wagers were fairly low and the house maximums large in comparison.
Consequently, he was able to keep his losses fairly low while his team played on, waiting for the monster win. It is doubtful that this system could be used successfully now, as the spread between minimum and maximum wagers is not large enough in most casinos. The losses realized while waiting for the large win would be enormous, with the house limits on maximum wagers limiting the systems' ability to ultimately recoup the losses.
D'Alembert reasoned that since winning and losing bets must eventually equal one another, a system of adding one chip after each losing bet and subtracting a chip after a winning bet would ultimately result in a win as winning wagers would always be greater than losing ones. It is not unusual to win only ten of the first thirty wagers in an even-money betting contest. With d'Alembert's system, the player will wager higher and higher amounts until he eventually runs into our old nemesis, the house limit.
D'Alembert can be fairly successful if it is modified to include no more than nine or ten bets in a series of wagers, so that potential losses are limited. An additional modification to improve the system is to space the bets so that the win of two consecutive wagers will offset prior losses. A series which accomplishes this is 1 2 3 4 7 11 With this series, a player would drop back to the lowest bet after winning two consecutive wagers, such as 7 and 4.
This system can be fairly successful if used by two partners betting the opposite in roulette, craps or baccarat. Contra-d-Alembert Like Reverse Labouchere, the idea behind Contra-d'Alembert is to reduce the amount risked while allowing profitable runs to rise to great heights. With this strategy we will increase our wager one level after a win and reduce it a level following a loss. The only positive aspect to the strategy is that when you hit a prolonged losing streak the size of your wagers is quickly reduced.
In this respect this system can help protect your bankroll. However, the upside of using any system requiring increasing your wager following wins is limited. Trends of long, uninterrupted winning streaks are fairly rare in gaming and a system relying on piling up win after consecutive win is not going to win very often.
Your first bet is for one unit. You win and move up to betting two units. With another win, you wager three units and have a loss. You have won two out of three bets and have absolutely nothing to show for it. All of your profit evaporated with that single loss. If you could always pick your spots, this system would have merit. Of course, if pigs could fly. It is just about impossible to know in advance when a three- wager consecutive win might occur so that you could jump in with a Contra-d'Alembert.
Like so many systems, this one sounds good on paper, but is difficult to squeeze profits out of in real world gaming. Ascot This is another of the old time roulette systems that can be adapted to any game offering even-money bets. With Ascot, winning wagers are increased one unit at a time in a predetermined series of wagers while losing bets are lowered one step using the same betting series. An Ascot betting series can be from seven to eleven numbers.
A typical series is: 2 3 5 8 13 20 The player's first wager would be a middle number such as 8. If this wager wins, the next wager would be If this wager also won, the succeeding wager would be for 20, and so on, with each win followed by an increase of one level in the betting series.
The series would end with the win of the last bet in the series. For a win, that would be a win of A losing series would be terminated with the loss of the lowest bet of 2. The greatest problem with Ascot is that alternating wins and losses at the higher levels of wagers will destroy the profit potential of the series. This can be a serious flaw in any system calling for a large reduction in the amount wagered following a loss. The Fibonacci System Fibonacci was a mathematician who discovered a series of numbers where the sum of each two numbers in the series equals the number which follows.
To use it, you will increase your bet one level following a loss. After any win, you drop your next wager one level. If you win two bets in a row, or win two out of three bets, you drop back to the first bet in the series. This is a good system for partners to use betting opposites.
With roulette, for instance, one partner could bet red while the other wagered black. With craps, one would wager on pass line and the other on don't pass. With baccarat, one partner would bet banker and the other on player hands. An adaptation of this system has been used to successfully win at craps The Silverthorne System, Silverthorne Publications. Incidentally, there are a number of derivations of the Fibonacci series of numbers, including ratios of the numbers, which are regularly used in trading stocks and commodity future contracts.
This is indeed a versatile and powerful sequence of numbers. The Parlay A parlay or paroli is a positive progression method. In its simplest form, it consists of leaving a winning bet plus the winnings up for a second win. Probably the most attractive aspect of a successful parlay is that it wins three times as much as the amount risked. However, the probability of winning two bets in a row on even-money wagers is less than one in four.
For this reason, one of the better ways to use a parlay is to combine it with a series of bets where the amount wagered is increased following a loss. For example the following parlay progression could be used: 2 2 3 4 6 8 12 To use this series, you would normally start with the first wager in the series. If either the original wager or the parlay lost you would move up one level in the betting series. If the series is lost, you may either start the series over or leave the table.
Setting up parlay progressions like the one above can be the basis for some of the best performing betting progressions in gambling. To use such a series in blackjack, which requires additional money in order to handle pair splitting and doublings, requires adjustments to the series. One way to handle this is to modify basic strategy to reduce the number of splitting and doubling plays.
However, this is not a wise way to play blackjack as these moves represent one of the player's strongest winning options. A better way to handle the program of developing a winning parlay progression for blackjack is to modify the progression so that it allows for splitting and doubling opportunities. Oscar's Grind If you want to use a system with very little risk of loss, here's the one you want. Oscar has a target of winning one unit at the end of any successful betting series.
That's it. One unit. Here are the rules: 1. Increase your bet by one unit after every win; provided that winning the wager won't result in a series gain larger then one unit. Never change the size of your bet following a loss. This wager also wins. You are now even. Because of the rule limiting the size of a wager to one which will not result in a gain larger than one unit.
If you find yourself in a situation where you have occasional wins followed by multiple losses, the size of your wagers will continue to grow. If you run into this situation, you will be forced to stop the series at some point and accept a loss, rather than risking larger and larger amounts of money. Patrick's System John Patrick, a professional gambler turned writer, presented another positive betting system for blackjack, which can also be used for baccarat. He uses a system with both progressive and regressive attributes.
With his system, you will start with a wager at least twice as large as the table minimum so that you have room to reduce the size of your bet after wins. After your first win, your next wager will be one-half the size of the first winning wager. After any net loss you will revert to the original starting bet. However, if you can manage to win the second bet in a series, you will return to the two-unit bet and increase the amount wagered after any additional win. Patrick suggests a way to limit losses by quitting if you lose the first four hands in a shoe or deck.
You have to decide where to place your wager. We will only bet on Player or Banker and never wager on Ties, so your choice of where to place your wager boils down to making a bet on either Player or Banker. Your second decision is how much to wager. We will take up the process of deciding how much to wager in the next chapter.
In this chapter we are only concerned with where you place your wagers. The principle behind determining where you place each bet was developed after thoroughly evaluating the game of baccarat. The game is unique in that it develops both long trends of repeating decisions, such as banker, banker, banker, etc. Here are the rules for using Template A: Rule 1. The first wager A-1 is always the opposite of the previous baccarat decision. If you are making an A-1 bet, it is the opposite of the previous baccarat decision.
Rule 2. Any time you win the A-1, or first bet in Template A, you have completed this series and your next wager will be another A-1 bet, again wagering the opposite of the observed baccarat decision. If you have a series of winning bets when you are continuing to make the A-1 wager, as you will when you have a winning streak making A-1 wagers, you will find yourself switching from betting on Player to Banker, then back to Player so long as you continue to win the A-1 bets.
The table below illustrates several wagers made with each A-1 pattern bet winning. You observe a baccarat decision. The outcome of this round determines your first bet. Round 1. You will always begin play making an A-1 pattern bet.
This bet is always the opposite of the last observed bet. Since the observed bet was B, your A-1 bet will be on P. Round 2. The winner of the Round 2 was banker. Since the A-1 bet won, we will make another A-1 bet, betting the opposite of the Round 1 winner. We wager on B and win. Round 3. Having won our last bet, we make another A-1 pattern bet, betting the opposite of the previous winner. Since B won in Round 2, we bet on P and win. Round 4. Following a winning wager we again make an A-1 pattern bet.
Since P won the previous round, we wager on B and win. Round 5. Following a win for an A-1 bet, we stay with the A-1 pattern and again wager the opposite of the previous winning decision. Since B won Round 4, we bet on P and win again. Round 6. After winning an A-1 bet we always continue making A-1 pattern bets. Since P won on Round 5, we bet opposite for this round, wagering on B and lose. As you can see from the previous table, so long as we win our A-1 wagers, we will continue making A-1 pattern bets until we have a loss.
Following any A-1 losing bet, we will make an A-2 pattern bet, the which is always the same as previous A-1 pattern bet. Rule 3. There are a total of two bets in the A Betting Template. The first bet, called A-1, is always the opposite of the previous winning decision as we have just seen.
The second, or A-2 bet, is always the same as our A-1 bet. You observe that the winning wager is on P. You start betting with an A-1 pattern bet, wagering the opposite of the previous winning bet of P. You wager on B and lose. Following the loss of an A-1 pattern bet, you advance to making an A-2 pattern bet. The A-2 bet is always the same as the A-1 bet. You again wager on B and win. After winning an A-2 bet, you revert to making an A-1 pattern bet and again wager on the same side, betting B.
You lose your wager. Following an A-1 pattern bet loss, you make an A-2 bet on the same side. In this case you again bet on B and win. Following the win with the A-2 bet, we revert to making an A-1 bet, again wagering on B. Our wager loses. Following our Round 5 loss of an A-1 bet, we again make an A-2 bet, again betting on the same side.
This wager also loses. We the loss of an A-2 bet, we will move to the second betting Template consisting of B pattern bets. Before we take a look at using the B Template bets, lets consider one more series of A Template bets. In this example we will mix up winning and losing A Template wagers and follow the outcomes.
You observe a round of play and B wins. Starting with an A-1 pattern bet, you wager the opposite of the previous winner and bet on P. Your wager loses. After losing an A-1 pattern bet, you wager on the same side again. After winning your A-2 level bet, you back down to making an A-1 wager on the same side as the previous A-2 bet. You wager on P and win. Any win of an A-1 pattern bet completes the betting series. You start a new pattern of betting by making a new A-1 bet.
Any new A-1 bet is always the opposite of the previous winning side. Since P won on Round 3, you wager B for Round 4 and win. After winning an A-1 bet, you start over with another A-1 bet, betting the opposite of the previous winning wager. Since B won Round 4, you wager on P and lose. After losing an A-1 wager, the next bet is always an A-2 wager on the same side as the A-1 bet.
You make an A-2 pattern bet on P and lose. Again, as in the previous example, we have lost an A-2 bet and will start the B Template bets. Summary of Making A Template Bets 1. Before starting to bet always observe one decision. You will always begin betting by making an A-1 pattern bet, which is always the opposite of the previous winner. If you observe B as a winner, your A-1 bet will be on P. Any time an A-1 bet wins, your next bet will also be an A-1 level bet and will follow the same rules, that it, you will always bet the opposite of the previous winning decision.
If you observe P as a winner, your A-1 bet will be on B. If an A-1 bet loses, the next bet will be an A-2 level bet. This bet will be on the same side as the A-1 bet. If you lose an A-1 bet on P, your A-2 bet will be on P. If an A-2 bet wins, your next wager will be an A-1 bet on the same side as the A-2 bet. If you win an A-2 bet on P, your A-1 bet will be on P.
If you lose an A-2 bet, you will begin betting in the B Template. There are just two betting templates — the A Template and the B Template. The A Template always consists of just two levels of bets — A-1 and A Any time we lose an A-2 bet, we start making B Template bets. B Template bets consist of three levels of bets — B-1, B-2 and B B-1 bets are always the opposite of the losing previous A-2 bet.
B-2 and B-3 bets are always the same as the B-1 wager. Any time we win two B Template bets in a row, we will have finished this betting level and we will start with an A-1 level bet again. However, we will give ourselves up to three levels of betting at the B Template level. If the B-1 bet loses, go to the B-2 bet and wager on the same side as B If the B-1 wins, start over with an A-1 bet. If the B-2 bet loses, go the B-3 bet and wager on the same side as B-1 and B If the B-2 bet wins, go to the B-1 level.
If the B-3 bet loses, start over with an A-1 bet. If the B-3 bet wins, drop back to a B-2 bet made on the same side as the B-3 bet. We lose an A-2 level bet. Following the loss of any A-2 wager, we move to the B Template and make a B-1 level bet.
Round 7. We make a B-1 level bet, betting the opposite of the previous losing A-2 bet. We wager on B and lose. Round 8. Following the loss on an B-1 bet, we make a B-2 bet on the same side. Here we wager on B again and lose. Round 9. With B Template bets there are a total of three bets to the series. Following the loss of a B-2 bet, we make a B-3 bet again wagering on the same side. We bet on B and win. If we had lost this wager, our next wager would have been an A-1 level bet.
Since we won our B-3 bet, we drop to a B-2 bet and again wager on the same side. Round Anytime we win two B Template bets in a row, we revert to making an A-1 bet. We make an A-1 bet, betting on P, which is the opposite of the previous observed winner. We lose our wager. Having lost an A-1 bet, we move up to making an A-2 bet, betting on the same side.
Since our A-1 bet was on P, we bet on P again and lose. The loss of an A-2 bet moves us into the B Template. We make a B-1 bet, betting the opposite of the losing A-2 bet and bet on B and lose. Since we lost our B-1 bet, we make a B-2 bet on the same side of B and win.
Having won a B-2 bet, we make an B-1 bet on the same side and win. Since we won two B Template bets in a row, we start over with an A-1 bet. We wager the opposite of the previous observed winner of B and bet on P, which wins. The philosophy underlying this style of selecting bets is called Trend Anti-Trend Betting.
If we show all of our wagers made over the previous 16 rounds of play, and show them in one table you can gain a better feel for how this Trend Anti-Trend Betting System looks in practice. In the following table we summarize the rounds of play the way we played them in the first five columns. In this chapter we will discuss the most powerful betting strategy ever developed for baccarat. Most betting strategies fall into one of three categories: Flat betting is the most common type of betting where the bet size never varies or bet size is determined very arbitrarily based on feelings or intuition.
This is not a reliable strategy for winning at baccarat as there is no way to take advantage of winning streaks by raising bets when winning or reducing the risk of losses by reducing bets when losing. Betting Progressions such as a Martingale Progression raise bets after losses and operate under the premise that eventually the player is bound to win, and when this happens a profit will be generated.
The downside of using these types of progressions is that the player must risk a large amount of money in exchange for small winnings. However, when a loss does occur, it is very large and may wipe out many hours of profits in just a few minutes. Increasing bets when winning can be a sound strategy, but many players increase their bets too quickly with the result that a single losing bet can wipe out two or three winning bets at one time.
These types of systems will lose more often than they win and can be very frustrating to a player who wants consistent winnings. Needless to say, most betting systems are fixed progressions or betting schemes that are unable to adapt to changing table conditions.
What is needed to win at any game offering even-money wagers, such as craps, roulette and baccarat is a way to automatically adjust and size your bets to match changing game conditions. After many trials I was finally able to develop a flexible way of betting that automatically adapts to changing patterns of decisions. When you use this uniquely powerful approach for baccarat bet sizing you will automatically shift between three different betting modes, each geared to match the win and loss pattern presently occurring.
The Attack Mode of Betting is used when you are winning bets. However, it is grounded in conservatism. While many gamblers will double their bets following each win, our Attack Mode first calls for reducing the size of your wager following certain winning bets. I will give you complete examples of how to use this betting strategy. The Retrenchment Mode of Betting is defensive in nature and is triggered when you lose certain wagers.
It is a conservative way of recouping losses. You will find that when you apply this method that some of your best wins come from gains developed while in the Retrenchment Betting mode. A Trigger Bet is used to determine which other betting mode you should be in.
A Trigger Bet is made when the decisions are neutral and you are neither winning nor losing. Each of these Betting modes has its own rules and procedures. Each betting mode uses special betting rules to take advantage of changing decisions as they affect your play. The betting strategy which you use depends on which mode the game is in. Using this three-pronged approach to bet selection, you will move into Attack Mode when you are in a winning streak.
By moving into the Attack Mode at the right time, you will be able to maximize a series of winning bets with no risk of losing previous gains. If your wagers are losing, then you will move into a Retrenchment Betting Mode which gives you the best opportunity to recover from losing wagers.
You will be in the neutral betting mode and make a Trigger Bet to determine whether you should be in the Attack or Retrenchment Betting mode. When you play, you will always be in one of these three betting modes: Attack, Retrenchment or the neutral or Trigger mode. The Trigger Bet Whenever you start playing a game of baccarat or after you have completed all of the bets in the Attack or Retrenchment betting modes, you will always make a Trigger Bet. This wager can be thought of as a neutral bet made when you are not sure whether you should be making wagers in the Attack Mode or in the Retrenchment Mode.
Your level of betting strictly determines its size. If you prefer to play with larger chips, such as often the case with full sized baccarat, use can easily adjust the amounts in the examples by multiplying the amounts to fit your level of play.
After you make your first Attack Bet, you will continue to make Attack Bets so long as you are winning. This mode of betting is designed to take advantage of a winning streak while protecting your winnings. Instead of doubling your first bet following a win as is advocated in many strategies, your first Attack Bet will always be less than the preceding winnings Trigger Bet.
So long as you continue to win your wagers, you will continue to wager in the Attack Betting Mode. We have experienced as many as nine winning wagers in a row in this mode. This signals us to begin betting in Attack Betting Mode. We win again. Rounds 6, 7 and 8. We continue the pattern of betting in the Attack Betting mode and winning each bet. However, this time our wager loses. Since we lost an Attack Bet, we will make a Trigger Bet on the next round.
The outcome of the new Trigger Bet will determine whether we move back to making Attack Bets or whether we move into the Retrenchment Mode. Here are the rules for the Attack Betting Mode summarized: 1. Continue betting in the Attack Betting Mode so long as you are winning every wager.
Move up the progression one level of bet following each win. With a tie bet, repeat the same bet for the next round of betting. As soon as you lose an Attack Bet, you will revert to making a Trigger Bet. Here you will use a betting progression calling for you to increase the size of your next wager following a losing bet. You will continue in this mode of betting until you win the lowest wager in the betting series.
If you win the first retrenchment bet, you will resume making a Trigger Bet. However, if you lose the wager, your next bet will be one level higher which is 15 in this betting series. Anytime you have a losing bet, your next bet will be one level higher. If you lose 15, the next bet is If you lose 25, the next bet is Anytime you win a wager, your next wager is one level lower.
If you win 40, wager 25 next. If you win 25, then wager However, this rule is modified by Rule 4. If you win two bets in a row, reduce your next bet by two levels. For example, if you win 40 and then 25, your next bet will be reduced to just The same rule applies if you win two out of three bets. Assume you win 40, then your next bet is If you lose this bet, you will move back up to betting 40 for the next bet.
However, if you win this 40 bet, your next bet will be 10, since you won two out of three bets. Anytime you win the first bet in the Retrenchment Betting Series, you will resume making a Trigger Bet. A series of Retrenchment bets are shown below, starting with a losing Trigger Bet. However, instead of having a loss as we would have if we had made the same size bet each time, we ended up 30 ahead. We lose a Trigger Bet. This loss tells us we will move into Retrenchment Betting Mode on the next Round.
We make our first Retrenchment bet of If we had won this wager we would have moved back to making a Trigger Bet on the next round. However, we lost the bet and will continue in the Retrenchment Betting Mode until we win the first bet. We increase our bet one level and wager We lose. Our next bet will be one level higher. We wager the next level bet of 25 and lose again. We must again increase our next wager for the next round of play. We bet 40 and lose.
With this losing wager we must increase our next bet by one level. We wager 65 and win. Following a win our next bet will be one level lower. We bet 40 and win. We have now had two wins in a row. We will drop our next bet by two levels. We wager 15 and win. With this win our next bet will be reduced one level to We wager 10 and win. Because the procedure of winning two out of three bets before dropping two levels can be a little confusing we will take a look at another series of Retrenchment Bets which illustrate how we apply this technique.
In the particular series of bets shown in the following table, we lose five bets and win four bets. However, instead of having a loss as we would have if we had made the same size bet each time, we ended up 20 ahead because of Retrenchment betting. We make the first Retrenchment bet of 10, which loses. We will move up one betting level in the next round.
We make the second level Retrenchment wager of 15 which loses. Following another losing Retrenchment bet, we move up one betting level and make a 25 bet. It also loses. The bet wins and we will drop our wager one level on the next round. Following a losing bet, we raise our wager one level and bet We win our bet.
Since we won two out of the last three bets Round 5 won, Round 6 lost, and Round 7 won , we drop this wager two levels and bet 15 which wins. Following this winning Retrenchment bet, we reduce our bet one level and wager 10 this round. Since this bet wins and it is the first bet in the Retrenchment Betting Series, we will resume making a Trigger Bet on the next round of play.
Starter Bets A starter bet is a neutral bet made only to start a game. You will need to make this bet whenever the house requires a wager in order to start a game and you are the only player at the table. You will encounter this situation with online baccarat games where you are playing a computer-controlled game which will only deal a round of play if you have a bet placed.
A Starter Bet will consist of a bet equal to the minimum wager allowed by the house. I usually wager my Starter Bet on Banker, but you can wager on either Player or Banker to get the game going. After the round with the Starter Bet is complete, you will begin the next round starting a game. Your first Game Bet will be a Trigger Bet, the outcome of which will determine subsequent bets.
It should be four to five times the size of your game buy-in. The table below shows the Total Bankroll needed for different levels of play and the Game Buy-in Amounts. A Profit Plateau is a level of winnings that acts as a target profit level. Your goal is to at least reach this amount in a game.
Once you reach this level, you will bet more conservatively so that you will end a game with at least this amount of profit or even a lot more. A Profit Plateau is computed as your Base Bet x Rule 1. If you are in the Trigger Betting Mode when you reach your Profit Plateau do not stop betting until you are ready to make another Trigger Bet.
You might reach your Profit Plateau after winning a Trigger Bet. Instead of stopping play, you will move into Attack Betting Mode and continue in this betting mode until you are required to make another Trigger bet. We win a Trigger Bet. Rounds 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8.
We win our Attack Bets in each round. In each succeeding round we increase our Attack Bet by one level. We lose an Attack Bet. If we lose a Trigger Bet and our winnings drop below our Profit Plateau, we quit playing and call the game over.
We drop our next Retrenchment bet to 25, wager and win. Since we won two out of three retrenchment bets, we drop our next bet two levels, wager 10 and lose. Following a loss, we make a 15 Retrenchment Bet and lose. Following our losing wager, we move up one level and wager 25 which wins. Following a win, we drop our bet one level, wager 15 and lose. After losing the wager, we move back up to 25 and win the wager.
Since we won two out of three bets, we drop our wager by two levels and wager 10, which wins. We make a Trigger Bet of 10 and lose. Our winnings have dropped below our Profit Plateau. You simply bet 2 units following this pattern, for as long as the pattern continues.
At your first loss, you switch back to phase 1 following the streak and the chop. The first 2 decisions are BP, a chop. We bet 1 unit on B. We bet 1 unit on P. Now the last 2 decisions are BP, a chop. We lose. Now the last 2 decisions are PP, a streak. We bet 2 units on P. We win an LW. We lose our second bet of the 3-step progression. We bet 3 units on B. We lose our third bet of the 3-step progression. Since we have lost 3 bets in a row LLL , we now switch to phase 2 and follow the pattern.
We bet 2 units on B and we win. We bet 2 units on B again and we win. We keep following the pattern and we bet 2 units on P, then on P again, until the pattern breaks with a B. Now we go back to phase 1 and look at the last 2 decisions, those being PB, a chop. We bet 1 unit on P and we win. What we conclude is that we win every pattern in phase 1, as we have seen in the 32 complete combinations of the 5 decision sequences, except the , which is won in phase 2, by simply following it.
There will be times, where the pattern will not continue. In those cases, you will be sacrificing only 2 units and switching right back to Phase 1 where at least one of the 3 bets will be a winner. On the long run, only 4 out of 32 or That means you will win In phase 2, if the pattern continues, the 3 consecutively lost bets in phase 1 will be recovered, at times with even additional profits. Out of shoes, for instance, one would win 50 shoes and lose 50 shoes.
This way you will also know that you are on a bad shoe right up front. And once you reach —6 units, you can quit the shoe and join the next one, although the recovery chances are not slim. However, if you have this strategy set up front, your —6 units will also not become —26 units for that shoe. You would be limiting your losses greatly. A unit buy-in bankroll and a unit lifetime bankroll should be sufficient for this system.
Sample Runs. The first column Sequence is the decision number. If you have to place a bet, then place a minimum bet on either Banker or Player, so you will give the impression that you are participating. Normally, we should not place any bets on the second bet either, since we need to see 2 decisions in order to decide where to bet on. However, again, if you have to place a bet, just follow the last decision. If Banker, then bet on Banker. If Player, then bet on Player.
Normal play starts at Sequence 3. The column Detected Pattern determines how to bet on your next bet. If Player or Banker repeated for the last 2 decisions, it marks a Streak, meaning that you will be betting on the same as the last decision on your next bet.
If the last 2 decisions were different, then it determines a chop pattern, meaning that you will bet on the opposite of the last decision on your next bet. Bet on shows where to place your bet, depending on the Detected Pattern. Please note that this is valid for Phase 1 only. Again, this is valid for Phase 1 only. In Phase 2, that is after you have lost 3 times in Phase 1, an L represents a win for the pattern Phase 1 Count Consecutive Losses counts the number of losses and will help you identify if you are in Phase 1 or 2.
So the greater this count is as long as it is more than 3 the better, as you will keep accumulating 2 units per bet. When the count is 0, that means a win, if you were in Phase 1, or the end of Phase 2. This is the time you switch back to Phase 1. This may look a bit confusing, but with a little practice you will get a good feel of it.
Phase 1 Units counts the units gained or lost during Phase 1 only. When the count column is greater than 3, you are in Phase 2 and you will see that we write 0 under this column. Phase 2 Units accounts for your 2-unit profits, when you are in Phase 2 and are betting following the pattern. Please note that when the Phase 1 Count Consecutive Losses is greater than 3, this is a winning bet for Phase 2 and thus the 2 unit profit is registered. Net Units is the sum of your Phase 1 and Phase 2 units and shows where you stand at any stage within the shoe.
In this Shoe No. In decision 2, we simply follow the last decision as an exception to the overall rules. We bet 1 unit on Banker and we win. Since this was a Banker win, we profit 0. Now that we have 2 decisions, we can start applying the rules of the Kiss system.
Those 2 decisions are BB. The Detected Pattern column indicates a Streak. Therefore we bet on the same as the last decision on our next bet — decision 3. We place 1 unit on B and we win. We gain another 0. The net units go up to 1.
The Streak continues. We place our bets on B again for 1 unit in decision 4. We win again. Another 0. The detected pattern shows a streak. We decide to bet on Banker on decision 5, but a P comes up. We lose our bet. The spreadsheet shows only a 6-unit loss, should we lose 3 consecutive bets.
Otherwise, a L W sequence is a winning sequence, as we will see at our next decision. The proper commission is accounted for, should we win our second bet and if that happens to be on a Banker. Then the profit gained will be 0. Similarly, an L L W sequence breaks even. However, if the third winning bet is on a Banker, we pay a commission of 0.
If the winning bet is on a Player, naturally there is no commission. After we lose our bet in decision 5, the detected pattern becomes a chop, since the last 2 decisions now are BP. We decide to bet on B in decision 6, being the opposite of the last decision on a chop. Paying the commission on 2 units having won on a Banker, our profit becomes 0. The detected pattern is still a chop since the last 2 decisions were PB. So we go for a P in decision 7.
A B comes up and we lose. The detected pattern indicates now a Streak, as the last 2 decisions are BB. We bet 2 units on B in decision 8 and we win. Again our profit is 0. Since the last 2 decisions were PP, we are on a streak, we bet 3 units on P at decision 11 and we win. Since the win was on a Player decision this time, we pay no commissions and we break even at the result of a LLW sequence. The streak continues all the way to decision 16 and we keep betting 1 unit on P, winning and increasing our net from 4.
In decision 16, the streak breaks with a B and we lose that bet. The pattern detector shows a chop, so we bet on P on decision 17, but we lose that bet, too. Now the pattern detector shows a streak, since the last decision repeated. We bet 3 units on B in decision 18 and we lose that bet, too.
Since we have lost 3 consecutive bets, this brings us to Phase 2. Now we bet 2 units on P hoping that the pattern will continue. Unfortunately, it does not continue. We lose that 2-unit bet, too. However, that refers to Phase 1. But that W indicates that we are to go back to Phase 1, leave pattern and continue betting.
So since the last decisions are now PB for decisions 18 and 19, and we are back to Phase 1, this indicates a chop for us and we bet 1 unit on P in decision But a B comes up and we lose that bet. Now we are on a streak. We bet 2 units on B in decision 21 and we win that bet, adding 0. We encounter 3 consecutive losses in decisions The units indicator shows —6 and we go to Phase 2, where we follow the pattern by betting 2 units flat each time.
The pattern continues in decision 25 giving us 2 unit profit on a Player decision. But it discontinues in decision 26 and we give back those 2 units. Now we are back to Phase 1, where a streak makes us win the next two bets. You should note what happens in decisions We lose 3 consecutive bets in decisions We step into Phase 2 and we win 2 bets of 2 units following the pattern until we lose the bet in decision We go back to Phase 1, and so on.
We were doing quite well with this shoe at the beginning, reaching up to 8. In decision 39 we reached —5. However, since we could not have known, we have to follow our strategy to the word. You will see however, that on the longer run, you will win as many shoes as you will lose. This shoe does better. Fortunately, we do so according to our money management strategy, as if we kept on playing until the end of the shoe, we would end up at — This shoe performs very well.
You are almost never at a negative balance throughout the entire shoe. A good shoe. See how the 3 consecutive losses of decisions are recovered during Phase 2 at decisions A very good shoe. But rules are rules. We can also see that by the end of the shoe, the profit drops to 4 units. A pretty bad shoe. We get rid of it by quitting it at —7 at decision 7 and save ourselves from losing as many as Now you can see the advantages of using such a solid money management system.
This is an interesting shoe. It fluctuates about 7 times between the negative and the positive net amount. The 3 consecutively lost bets in Phase 1 are easily recovered. The tester book contains shoes and I have tested most of them and I obtained the same results. Additionally I have tested the system over thousands of simulated shoes, again with very similar results.
Since the system never bets more than 3 units maximum at a time, you can wager high amounts without exceeding the table limit, once you accumulate sufficient bankroll and you feel more comfortable with the system. As promised, the Kiss — Baccarat system comes with a bonus system. The bonus system is very similar to the original Kiss system and even further simplified.
Therefore, it does not treat the Pattern , but avoids it. In Phase 1, the 1,2,3 progression becomes a 2 step 1,2 progression. The original Kiss system is very dynamic as it bets on every bet. The bonus system has a few interruptions, during which losing bets for Phase 1 are bypassed. The result is a gradually winning system, stopping at 2 losses, limiting the losing run to 3 units only. A 5 unit per shoe winning limit and a —5 unit losing limit is adequate.
You will be winning more than half your shoes with this method. A 25 unit buy-in bankroll and 50 unit lifetime bankroll are sufficient. You sit at the Baccarat or mini-Baccarat table from the beginning of the shoe. You observe them to be PP. The detected pattern is a Streak. So you bet 1 unit on P in decision 3. You win the bet.
You are up by 1 unit. You bet 1 unit on P again, but you lose. The pattern detector shows now a chop because of the last 2 decisions being PB. So you bet 2 units on P to follow the chop and you win. You have gained another unit. Now the Chop continues. You bet 1 unit on B in decision 6, but you lose. The pattern detector shows now a Streak. So you bet 2 units on P in decision 7 and you win.
You bet 1 unit on P in decision 8 and you win another unit.
Does the baccarat pattern strategy work? What about other strategies? You should really read these before you spend real money testing any baccarat strategy. This represents the house edge and is how the casino makes its money. Any true winning baccarat system will factor this in. Go for the lowest commission every time. Reading the game terms and conditions is a great way to learn more about this. The best bet to make is player in most cases.
This information should always factor into your baccarat strategy. This money management tip will help you more than any baccarat pattern reading or slick tricks. You have to learn to control those overwhelming brain chemicals that make you feel invincible when you are up a few grand. Walk away before the house takes back everything and sends your mood plummeting.
You need to stick to your baccarat game strategy at all costs! Money management is everything. Emotion will always be the undoing of even advanced baccarat players! If you play baccarat online and double it several times in a row, without risking your own cash reserves, you could really start to beat baccarat quite quickly without a lot of risk. Even at reputable online casinos you can trust, make sure you read the fine print.
In the above example, there are two things which make this a terrible baccarat bonus. First, the wagering requirements are far too high. The minimum deposit is also far too high as compared to the size of the bonus. We would consider taking this one:. No conversion limit. Anyone who plays baccarat for a living will confirm this. No matter what, lady luck has a role and no baccarat tips and tricks can overcome her influence. Even though there are set baccarat odds, lady luck still reigns supreme.
Hopefully, these baccarat strategy tips will help you. They think they can spot baccarat patterns in it. Each hand is determined by random chance. Yet it happens far too often! Stay sober, shake it off and refocus after a big win. Let the excitement settle, stop playing for a while if you have to, and stick to the game plan. The good news is that you can use every baccarat strategy above on live games, too. Most veteran baccarat players are able to learn it, in about an hour or two.
Any level of baccarat player can learn how to consistently win at baccarat quickly. Therefore, we describe it as a more aggressive baccarat betting system. This system has its own unique betting sequence and betting placement instructions. This Chinese baccarat strategy has a low buy-in and bankroll requirements. We include a simple exit strategy that locks-in your BIG wins. The page baccarat strategy PDF is complete with details and is easy to learn.
Any player can become skilled at the system in about an hour or two. This aggressive baccarat betting strategy is fun to play and will help any player capture wins faster. There are several other strategies that you can find on the Internet. Like most even money casino games there is also the Martingale baccarat betting strategy. There are even a few other unique baccarat pattern strategies called and systems. All of these strategies have been tested and none prove to be nearly as lucrative as either the Golden Eagle or the Silver Tiger Systems.
A man with the name Ri Chang developed most of the Baccarat Strategies we offer. Chang is a Chinese national and is a statistical and mathematical genius. Ri Chang developed all of his Baccarat Strategies in his spare time while working for the Chinese government.
He joined his experience and knowledge of statistical probabilities with gambling research to develop these baccarat systems. We have an exclusive marketing and distribution agreement with Mr. Chang for all of the baccarat strategies that he developed. Therefore the strategies are only available for digital download. The main difference between the strategies is that each one comes with its own betting sequence and bet selection instructions.
The betting sequence includes information about the specific betting progression for each baccarat system. The betting selection instructions teach what patterns to watch for along with when and where to place the bets. The automated email prevents you from ever waiting when you buy our gambling strategies. We do not offer printed copies because of the additional cost of printing, storage, handling and shipping costs. We only deliver a downloadable PDF for all of our baccarat betting strategies.
Yes, we offer customer support for all of our baccarat strategies. A baccarat betting strategy will greatly improve your play!
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